Raw full-set round384s × identities ÷ 1.1M ÷ stacked gain
→Displayed round timeceil(max(4s, raw) ÷ slot) × slot
DC contributes an optimistic 4× gain, bundled propagation 2×, and source batching 1–2× depending on validator count. Selected gains multiply in this simplified scenario. Slot length never changes the raw finality-vote throughput.
Historical workload reference34,375assigned attesters per current slot · 1.1M ÷ 32
Structural ceiling131,07264 committees × 2,048 seats · not measured throughput
Decentralization floor4 secAssumed guardrail for geographic fairness and reasonable node requirements—not a measured limit
Current 12-second slot0–4sblock propagation + vote target
4–8sattestation propagation + aggregation
8–12sglobal aggregate propagation
Expected time to finality½ slot + ½ finality-gadget round + rounds × round
Assumptions and limits +
The model assumes
- Workload scales linearly with active validator-identity count.
- A rounded 1.1M-validator, 32-slot epoch is the fixed capacity reference.
- Shorter slots change slot count and inclusion, not raw FG throughput.
- Full-set round duration rounds up to whole slots after the four-second decentralization floor.
- Transactions arrive uniformly, giving an expected half-slot inclusion wait.
- After block inclusion, input to the finality gadget has an independent, uniformly phased half-round expected wait.
- The block is confirmed and eligible when it becomes a finality-gadget input; no separate confirmation delay is added.
- Stake weight is preserved as identities consolidate.
- The four-second floor is a decentralization guardrail for geographic fairness and reasonable node requirements, not a measured network limit.
- Enabled networking gains multiply before that floor.
It does not model
- Safety, recovery, or adversary thresholds of a specific finality gadget.
- Censorship, fee competition, builder delay, or non-uniform transaction arrival.
- Peer topology, loss, geographic latency, or client limits; the floor is a guardrail rather than a simulation of them.
- Committee security, aggregation, safety, or liveness.
- The exact historical validator-count record or raw gossip message count.
- Measured interactions between DC, EIP-8334, and EIP-8243.
- Shadow simulation output; that series remains reserved.
Sources and further reading +
The validator count is a manually refreshed network snapshot used only as a chart marker. The model uses 1.1M as a rounded historical-high workload scenario, not an exact record. Proposal wording was checked against the local EIP and EthResearch corpora.